Endocrinol Metab.  2024 Aug;39(4):590-602. 10.3803/EnM.2024.1927.

Prognosis of Poorly Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Affiliations
  • 1Department of Nuclear Medicine, Hanyang University Medical Center, Hanyang University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
  • 2Department of Pathology, Hanyang University Medical Center, Hanyang University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
  • 3Hanyang University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
  • 4Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Hanyang University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea

Abstract

Background
Poorly differentiated thyroid carcinoma (PDTC) accounts for a small portion of thyroid carcinomas but contributes to a significant proportion of thyroid carcinoma-associated deaths. The clinicopathological prognostic factors and clinical outcomes of PDTC remain unclear. We aimed to evaluate the clinical outcomes of patients with PDTC after curative treatment.
Methods
A comprehensive search was performed up to September 2023. We included studies investigating treatment outcomes in patients with PDTC who underwent initial surgery. The 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were extracted. In this meta-analysis, the enrolled PDTC histological criteria included 3rd, 4th, and 5th World Health Organization (WHO) and Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) classification. A random-effects model was used for the pooled proportion analysis. Meta-regression analysis was conducted to evaluate the prognostic factors.
Results
Twenty retrospective studies published between 2007 and 2023, including 1,294 patients, met all inclusion criteria. Studies that diagnosed PDTC based on various histological criteria including 3rd WHO (n=5), 4th WHO (n=12), 5th WHO (n=2), and MSKCC (n=1) were included. Overall, 5-year DFS and 5-year OS were 49.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 42.3 to 56.4) and 73.8% (95% CI, 66.5 to 79.9), with moderate heterogeneity of 58% and 55%, respectively. In meta-regression analysis, extrathyroidal extension (ETE) was a prognostic factor for OS.
Conclusion
The meta-analysis of DFS and OS in patients with PDTC show the moderate heterogeneity with a variety of histological criteria. ETE appears to have a significant impact on OS, regardless of histological criteria.

Keyword

Thyroid neoplasms; Carcinoma; Meta-analysis; Prognosis; Survival; Pathology

Figure

  • Fig. 1. Flow diagram of study selection. SEER, Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results; NCDB, National Cancer Database.

  • Fig. 2. Forest plots of the proportion for treatment outcomes in patients with poorly differentiated thyroid carcinoma: (A) 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) and (B) 5-year overall survival (OS). The squares represent the proportion of each study and their size represents the weight of the study in the meta-analysis. The horizontal lines crossing the squares represent the 95% confidence interval (CI). WHO, World Health Organization; MSKCC, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center; DHGTC, differentiated high-grade thyroid carcinoma.

  • Fig. 3. Forest plots of the subgroup analysis for treatment outcomes in patients with poorly differentiated thyroid carcinoma (PDTC) according to PDTC histology criteria: (A) 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) and (B) 5-year overall survival (OS). CI, confidence interval; WHO, World Health Organization; DHGTC, differentiated high-grade thyroid carcinoma; MSKCC, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center.


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