J Breast Cancer.  2018 Jun;21(2):222-226. 10.4048/jbc.2018.21.2.222.

Verification of a Western Nomogram for Predicting Oncotype DXâ„¢ Recurrence Scores in Korean Patients with Breast Cancer

Affiliations
  • 1Department of Surgery, Gyeongsang National University Hospital, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju, Korea.
  • 2Division of Breast and Endocrine Surgery, Department of Surgery, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea. paojlus@hanmail.net

Abstract

A recent study conducted at the University of Tennessee Medical Center using a large dataset from the National Cancer Database (NCDB) reported the use of nomograms for predicting Oncotype DXâ„¢ (ODX) scores with clinicopathologic data. We reviewed the data of 218 patients who underwent the ODX test at a single institution in Korea to confirm that nomograms can accurately predict ODX score groups using our data, which differ from those of the NCDB in terms of ethnicity. The concordance index (c-index) of nomograms was much lower than that of the University of Tennessee Medical Center for high- and low-risk groups of commercial ODX and Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment values. Although the nomogram for predicting ODX scores was based on a large dataset, it could not be generalized to patients in Asia. Further studies using large datasets of patients from different ethnicities should be performed to develop a nomogram applicable to patients worldwide.

Keyword

Breast neoplasms; Ethnic groups; Nomograms; Recurrence

MeSH Terms

Asia
Breast Neoplasms*
Breast*
Dataset
Ethnic Groups
Humans
Korea
Nomograms*
Recurrence*
Tennessee

Figure

  • Figure 1 The calibration plots of four nomograms predicting probabilities of belonging to high- and low-risk group according to commercial and Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment (TAILORx) trial criteria. (A) Nomogram to predict for high risk group according to TAILORx criteria. (B) Nomogram to predict for low risk group according to TAILORx criteria. (C) Nomogram to predict for high risk group according to commercial criteria. (D) Nomogram to predict for low risk group according to commercial criteria.


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