Korean J Prev Med.
2001 Feb;34(1):21-27.
Severity-Adjusted Mortality Rates: The Case of CABG Surgery
- Affiliations
-
- 1Department of Preventive Medicine, College of Medicine, Korea University, Seoul, Korea.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES
To develop a model that will predict the mortality of patients undergoing Coronary Artery Bypass Graft (CABG) and evaluate the performance of hospitals.
METHODS
Data from 564 CABGs performed in six general hospitals were collected
through medical record abstraction by registered nurses. Variables studied involved risk
factors determined by severity measures. Risk modeling was performed through logistic
regression and validated with cross-validation. The statistical performance of the
developed model was evaluated using c-statistic, R2, and Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic.
Hospital performance was assessed by severity-adjusted mortalities.
RESULTS
The developed model included age, sex, BUN, EKG rhythm, Congestive Heart
Failure at admission, acute mental change within 24 hours, and previous angina pectoris
history. The c-statistic and R2 were 0.791 and 0.101, respectively. Hosmer-Lemeshow
statistic was 10.3(p value=0.2415). One hospital had a significantly higher mortality rate
than the average mortality rate, while others were not significantly different.
CONCLUSION
Comparing the quality of service by severity adjusted mortality rates, there
were significant differences in hospital performance. The severity adjusted mortality rate
of CABG surgery may be an indicator for evaluating hospital performance in Korea.