Korean J Intern Med.  2013 May;28(3):322-329. 10.3904/kjim.2013.28.3.322.

A comparison of the BISAP score and serum procalcitonin for predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis

Affiliations
  • 1Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Dong-A University College of Medicine, Busan, Korea. mhnho@dau.ac.kr
  • 2Department of Radiology, Dong-A University College of Medicine, Busan, Korea.

Abstract

BACKGROUND/AIMS
The bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP) is a new, convenient, prognostic multifactorial scoring system. As more data are needed before clinical application, we compared BISAP, the serum procalcitonin (PCT), and other multifactorial scoring systems simultaneously.
METHODS
Fifty consecutive acute pancreatitis patients were enrolled prospectively. Blood samples were obtained at admission and after 48 hours and imaging studies were performed within 48 hours of admission. The BISAP score was compared with the serum PCT, Ranson's score, and the acute physiology and chronic health examination (APACHE)-II, Glasgow, and Balthazar computed tomography severity index (BCTSI) scores. Acute pancreatitis was graded using the Atlanta criteria. The predictive accuracy of the scoring systems was measured using the area under the receiver-operating curve (AUC).
RESULTS
The accuracy of BISAP (> or = 2) at predicting severe acute pancreatitis was 84% and was superior to the serum PCT (> or = 3.29 ng/mL, 76%) which was similar to the APACHE-II score. The best cutoff value of BISAP was 2 (AUC, 0.873; 95% confidence interval, 0.770 to 0.976; p < 0.001). In logistic regression analysis, BISAP had greater statistical significance than serum PCT.
CONCLUSIONS
BISAP is more accurate for predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis than the serum PCT, APACHE-II, Glasgow, and BCTSI scores.

Keyword

Prognosis; Severity; Serum procalcitonin; Acute pancreatitis

MeSH Terms

Biological Markers/blood
Calcitonin/*blood
Female
Humans
Logistic Models
Male
Middle Aged
Pancreatitis/blood/*diagnosis
Prognosis
Prospective Studies
Protein Precursors/*blood
ROC Curve
*Severity of Illness Index
Biological Markers
Calcitonin
Protein Precursors
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