Ann Liver Transplant.  2021 May;1(1):2-9. 10.52604/alt.21.0002.

Prognostic impact of MELD scores greater than 40 in deceased donor liver transplant recipients

Affiliations
  • 1Division of Hepatobiliary Surgery and Liver Transplantation, Department of Surgery, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea

Abstract

Background
Since 2016, Korean liver organ allocation system has been based on model for end-stage liver disease (MELD). Some patients on waiting list progressed to MELDs >40 due to serious shortage of donor organs. This study investigated prognosis of deceased donor liver transplantation (DDLT) recipients with MELD scores >40.
Methods
Data from adult patients with MELD scores ≥31 who underwent DDLT between June 2016 and November 2019 were retrospectively evaluated. Patients were categorized according to Korean Network for Organ Sharing (KONOS) status 3, 2, or MELD-over-40.
Results
During the study period, 168 DDLT operations were performed in 160 patients with KONOS status 3 in 77 (48.1%), status 2 in 65 (40.6%) and MELD-over-40 in 18 (11.3%). Graft survival rates of primary DDLT were 84.0% at 1 year and 70.7% at 3 years. Overall patient survival was 85.2% at 1 year and 70.7% at 3 years. The 3-year patient survival was 74.4%, 75.7%, and 52.7% in KONOS status 3, status 2, and MELD-over-40 groups (p=0.19). Pretransplant ventilator support was associated with inferior patient survival outcomes (p=0.043), but pretransplant renal replacement therapy showed no prognostic significance. Retransplantation showed a significant prognostic difference (p<0.001). Multivariate analysis for overall patient survival showed that pretransplant ventilator support and retransplantation were significant prognostic factors, but MELD score >40 was not seen to be an independent risk factor.
Conclusion
This analysis revealed that very high MELD scores >40 appear to confer additional risk in patients with KONOS status 2 although it was not an independent prognostic factor.

Keyword

Deceased donor; Mortality; Waiting list; Ventilator; Marginal graft

Figure

  • Figure 1 Patient survival (A) and graft survival (B) curves after liver transplantation.

  • Figure 2 Comparison of the patient survival (A) and graft survival (B) curves according to the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores.

  • Figure 3 Comparison of the patient survival curves according to the primary liver diseases (A), pretransplant ventilator support (B), pretransplant renal replacement therapy (C), and retransplantation (D). ALD, alcoholic liver disease; SALF, subacute liver failure; HBV-LC, hepatitis B virus-associated liver cirrhosis; HCV-LC, hepatitis C virus-associated liver disease.


Reference

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