Ann Surg Treat Res.  2022 Dec;103(6):350-359. 10.4174/astr.2022.103.6.350.

The watch-and-wait strategy versus radical resection for rectal cancer patients with a good response (≤ycT2) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

Affiliations
  • 1Department of Surgery, Pohang Naval Hospital, Pohang, Korea
  • 2Department of Colon and Rectal Surgery, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea

Abstract

Purpose
This study aims to oncologic outcomes of the watch-and-wait (WW) strategy compared with radical resection (RR).
Methods
Patients with rectal cancer who received neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) and achieved ≤ycT2 between 2008 and 2016 were included. The mean follow-up time was 61 months (range, 0–168 months). Recurrence-free survival (RFS), local recurrence-free survival (LRFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and overall survival (OS) were compared. A total of 446 patients were included, and WW was adopted for 34 patients.
Results
WW patients were older (P = 0.022) and less advanced initial cT stage (P = 0.004). Ten patients in the WW group (29.4%) experienced local regrowth. Later, distant metastases occurred in 7 of these patients. The 5-year RFS (74.1% vs. 79.5%), DMFS (74.1% vs. 81.6%), and OS (90.4% vs. 87.7%) for the WW and RR groups were not statistically different. However, LRFS in the WW group was significantly lower (65.1% vs. 97.0%, P < 0.001). The initial cT stage was associated with RFS (P = 0.019) and LRFS (P = 0.037). WW was an independent risk factor for LRFS (P < 0.001) and DMFS (P = 0.024). After 1:4 propensity score matching between the WW and RR groups, there was no difference in RFS and OS. However, the 5-year LRFS (67.5% vs. 96.5%) and DMFS (73.2% vs. 86.4%) demonstrated a statistically significant difference between the groups.
Conclusion
By appointing the WW strategy, oncologic safety was not ensured. The WW strategy must be implemented with caution in patients with ≤ycT2 stage, particularly those with advanced initial cT stage.

Keyword

Good responder; Neoadjuvant therapy; Radical resection; Rectal neoplasms; Watch-and-wait

Figure

  • Fig. 1 Inclusion and exclusion criteria for the overall cohort. nCRT, neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy; FAP, familial adenomatous polyposis; HNPCC, hereditary nonpolyposis colon cancer; RR, radical resection; WW, watch-and-wait.

  • Fig. 2 Surveillance protocol in radical resection (RR) and watch-and-wait (WW) group. DRE, digital rectal examination.

  • Fig. 3 Oncologic outcomes according to treatment strategies; watch-and-wait (WW) vs. radical resection (RR). (A, C, D) Recurrence-free survival (RFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and overall survival (OS) did not differ between WW and RR groups. (B) Local recurrence-free survival (LRFS) was significantly low in the WW group.

  • Fig. 4 Timing of recurrence and metastasis in the watch-and-wait (WW) group.

  • Fig. 5 Oncologic outcomes according to the treatment strategies in the propensity score matched group. (A) Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and (D) overall survival (OS) were not different between groups. But, (B) local recurrence-free survival (LRFS) and (C) distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) were significantly lower in the watch-and-wait (WW) group than in the radical resection (RR) group.


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