Long Term Survival Rate and Prognostic Factors of Acute Myocardial Infarction

Gwon, Hyeon Cheol; Lyu, O Yeol; Park, Seung Woo; Chung, Ki Young; Kim, Young Kwon; Cho, Myeong Chan; Kim, Chee Jeong; Lee, Myoung Mook; Park, Young Bae; Choi, Yun Shik; Seo, Jung Don; Lee, Young Wo

Abstract

To identify the long-term survival rate and prognostic factors of AMI in Korea, total 404 patients who presented between Jan 1984 and mar 1989 at Seoul National University Hospotal were followed for and average of 24.9+/-18.2 months(range 1 to 69 months). 50 patients(12.4%) died during the in-hospital period and 25 patients(6.2%) died after discharge. Among the survivors reinfarction developled in 11 patients(3.3%). Overall survival rates were 0.87, 0.85, 0.83, 0.81, 0.79, 0.77 and event-free survival rates were 0.87, 0.84, 0.83, 0.79, 0.77, 0.72 at 1, 6, 12, 24, 36, 48 months respectively. During the in-hospital period sex, age, peak creatine kinase level, Killip class, Q wave in ECG, heart failure, and AV block in anterior infarction were of prognostic value. After discharge age, exercise duration on pre-discharge treadmill test, cardiac index, ejection fraction, and presence of heart failure were significant prognostic factors. Pre-discharge coronary angiographies were performed in 217 cases. There was no statistically significant difference in survival rate between multiple vessel disease and single vessel disease. But the more the number of involved vessels was, the higher the incidence of reinfarction was. In the group with jeopardy score less than 8, event-free survival rate was signigicantly higher. Overall survival rate was higher and reinfarction rate was lower in the group, but both were not statistically significant. On discriminant analysis of in-hospital prognostic factors, Killip class, heart failure and age were independent prognostic factors, but other factors had no additional prognostic value.