Korean J Gastroenterol.  2025 Jan;85(1):52-63. 10.4166/kjg.2024.130.

Predicting Neoplastic Gallbladder Polyps: The Role of Current Surgical Indications and Preoperative Images

Affiliations
  • 1Department of Internal Medicine, St. Vincent's Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
  • 2Department of Surgery, St. Vincent's Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
  • 3Department of Radiology, St. Vincent's Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea

Abstract

Background/Aims
Cholecystectomy for gallbladder (GB) polyps is performed primarily based on preoperative images. This study examined the accuracy of surgical indications commonly used in clinical practice for detecting neoplastic polyps and investigated further clues for predicting neoplastic polyps.
Methods
This retrospective study included 385 patients who underwent a cholecystectomy for GB polyps. The predictive performances of seven surgical indications were compared by fitting the receiver operating characteristic curves. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify the candidate variables associated with predicting neoplastic polyps.
Results
Neoplastic polyps were identified in 18.9% (n=62) of the 385 patients assessed. The neoplastic group contained more females than males, larger polyps, more frequent solitary lesions, and lower platelet counts than the non-neoplastic group. Current surgical indications revealed an unsatisfactory prediction for neoplastic polyps. The optimal cutoff polyp size for neoplastic polyps by ultrasound (US) was larger than by computed tomography (CT) (12 mm vs. 10 mm). The proportion of pathologic neoplastic polyps was higher when both US and CT images were used than that predicted using a single test. Logistic regression analysis revealed larger polyps, increasing age, female sex, and lower platelet count to be associated with neoplastic polyps.
Conclusions
The current indications for cholecystectomy in GB polyps have a low predictive value for neoplastic lesions that can lead to overtreatment. Combining the polyp size from US and CT images may reduce unnecessary surgery. In addition, knowledge of the patient's age, sex, and platelet count could help make more selective surgical decisions for neoplastic polyps.

Keyword

Gallbladder neoplasms; Polyps; Cholecystectomy; Diagnostic imaging; Predictive value of tests

Figure

  • Fig. 1 Flowchart for the enrollment of the study participants. CT, computed tomography.

  • Fig. 2 Receiver operating characteristic curves of surgical indications for predicting neoplastic polyp, (A) polyp size ≥10 mm; (B) increase in polyp size; (C) a symptomatic patient; (D) age ≥50 years; (E) concomitant gallstone; (F) a single lesion; (G) a sessile morphology. Sens, sensitivity, Spec, specificity; PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value, AUC, area under curve.

  • Fig. 3 Receiver operating characteristic curves of the gallbladder polyp size for predicting neoplastic polyp, (A) size measured by abdomen CT scan; (B) size measured by abdomen ultrasound. CT, computed tomography; Sens, sensitivity, Spec, specificity; PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value, AUC, area under curve.


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