Risk of posttransplantation recurrence in hepatocellular carcinoma patients within the Milan criteria: importance for evaluating the recurrence potential
- Affiliations
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- 1Division of Transplant Surgery, Department of Surgery, Samsung Medical Center, Seoul, Korea
Abstract
- Background
The optimal timing of transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma is still under debate regarding the tumor biology and locoregional control with various treatments
Methods
We analyzed hepatocellular carcinoma patients within the Milan criteria in the initial treatment stage who subsequently underwent liver transplantation. Between 2007 to 2020 were included to the study. Patients who underwent locoregional therapy in our center were included. The number of locoregional treatment as well as the data regarding tumor recurrence and survival were analyzed. Recurrence potential index was calculated by logarithmizing the inversed mean recurrence-free duration of each patient.
Results
During the period, 423 patients within the Milan criteria during the initial treatment stage underwent liver transplantation. The median number of locoregional treatment before transplantation was two with an interquartile range of zero to four. There were 112 patients (26.5%) who underwent liver transplantation as the initial treatment. Multivariable Cox analyses showed that number of locoregional therapies (hazard ratio [HR], 1.114; confidence interval [CI], 1.035–1.200; P=0.004), Child score at initial stage (HR, 0.561; CI, 0.362–0.868; P=0.010), PIVKA-II change ratio (HR, 1.002; CI, 1.001–1.004; P=0.005), tumor size (HR, 1.276; CI, 1.084–1.502; P=0.003) and tumor thrombosis (HR, 17.454; CI, 6.609–46.095; P<0.001) were significant factors related to recurrence-free survival. In a subgroup with patients with previous treatments, recurrence potential index (HR, 1.632; CI, 1.092–2.438; P=0.017) showed significant relationship with recurrence-free survival along with other factors.
Conclusions
This study showed that the risk of recurrence after transplantation does not significantly increases when the number of locoregional therapies and recurrence potential index. Optimal timing of liver transplantation should be cautiously decided in regards of recurrence potential of each patient.