J Korean Soc Emerg Med.  2022 Aug;33(4):57-66.

Analysis of factors influencing emergency physician’s choice of specialty again using machine learning method

Affiliations
  • 1Department of Emergency Medicine, Kyung Hee University Hospital, Seoul, Korea
  • 2Department of Emergency Medicine, Nowon Eulji Medical Center, Eulji University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
  • 3Department of Emergency Medicine, Myongji Hospital, Goyang, Korea
  • 4Department of Emergency Medicine, School of Medicine, Kyungpook National University, Daegu, Korea
  • 5Department of Emergency Medicine, Inje University College of Medicine, Busan, Korea
  • 6Department of Medical Education, Yonsei University Wonju College of Medicine, Wonju, Korea
  • 7Department of Emergency Medicine, Wonju Severance Christian Hospital, Wouju, Korea
  • 8Department of Emergency Medicine, Dong-A University College of Medicine, Busan, Korea
  • 9Department of Emergency Medicine, KS Hospital, Gwangju, Korea
  • 10Department of Emergency Medicine, Yeouido St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
  • 11Department of Emergency Medicine, Soonchunhyang University Seoul Hospital, Seoul, Korea
  • 12Department of Emergency Medicine, Korea University Guro Hospital, Seoul, Korea
  • 13Department of Emergency Medicine, Yeosu Jeonnam Hospital, Yeosu, Korea
  • 14Department of Emergency Medicine, Hwahong Hospital, Suwon, Korea
  • 15Department of Emergency Medicine, Gyeongsang National University Changwon Hospital, Changwon, Korea
  • 16Department of Preventive Medicine, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Korea

Abstract


Objective
Machine learning is emerging as a new alternative in various scientific fields and is potentially a new method of interpretation. Using the Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), we analyzed the factors that influence the rechoice of emergency medicine responders. The survey is a cross-sectional study which provides an accurate understanding of a responder's current status. However, the results may vary depending on the composition, format, and question, and the relationship between the answers may be unclear.
Methods
This study evaluated the modified 2020 Korean Emergency Physician Survey raw data. We applied the preferred model for random relationship check, random forest, support vector machine, and LightGBM models. The stacking ensemble model was used for the final decision process.
Results
‘It is fun working in an emergency room’was the most selected response factor for re-choice, followed by ‘interesting major’. The physical burden of age and lack of identity had a negative impact, whereas burnout and emotional stress factors had a lesser effect. Anxiety caused by the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is thought to have a significant impact on this decision making.
Conclusion
Establishing the identity of emergency medicine and being faithful to its fundamental mission is a way to increase the rate of re-choice. Decreasing the burden of workload modified according to age is recommended to establish career longevity. The method of machine learning presents us with a new possibility of checking the relevance of survey results quickly and easily.

Keyword

Machine learning; Survey; Emergency medicine; Medical specialty
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