Korean J Otorhinolaryngol-Head Neck Surg.  2022 Jun;65(6):334-342. 10.3342/kjorl-hns.2021.00871.

Machine Learning-Based Predictor for Treatment Outcomes of Patients With Salivary Gland Cancer After Operation

• Jeong MC
• Koh YW
• Choi EC
• Lim JY
• Kim SH
• Park YM

• KMID: 2530600
• DOI: http://doi.org/10.3342/kjorl-hns.2021.00871

Abstract

Background and Objectives
The purpose of this study was to analyze the survival data of salivary gland cancer (SGCs) patients to construct machine learning and deep learning models that can predict survival and use them to stratify SGC patients according to risk estimate.
Subjects and Method
We retrospectively analyzed the clinicopathologic data from 460 patients with SGCs from 2006 to 2018.
Results
In Cox proportional hazard (CPH) model, pM, stage, lymphovascular invasion, lymph node ratio, and age exhibited significant correlation with patient’s survival. In the CPH model, the c-index value for the training set was 0.85, and that for the test set was 0.81. In the Random Survival Forest model, the c-index value for the training set was 0.86, and that for the test set was 0.82. Stage and age exhibited high importance in both the Random Survival Forest and CPH models. In the deep learning-based model, the c-index value was 0.72 for the training set and 0.72 for the test set. Among the three models mentioned above, the Random Survival Forest model exhibited the highest performance in predicting the survival of SGC patients.
Conclusion
A survival prediction model using machine learning techniques showed acceptable performance in predicting the survival of SGC patients. Although large-scale clinical and multicenter studies should be conducted to establish more powerful predictive model, we expect that individualized treatment can be realized according to risk stratification made by the machine learning model.

Keyword

Deep learning; Machine learning; Prognosis; Salivary gland cancer