Osong Public Health Res Perspect.  2021 Aug;12(4):215-229. 10.24171/j.phrp.2021.0100.

COVID-19 prediction models: a systematic literature review

• Shakeel SM
• Kumar NS
• Madalli PP
• Srinivasaiah R
• Swamy DR

• KMID: 2520026
• DOI: http://doi.org/10.24171/j.phrp.2021.0100

Abstract

As the world grapples with the problem of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and its devastating effects, scientific groups are working towards solutions to mitigate the effects of the virus. This paper aimed to collate information on COVID-19 prediction models. A systematic literature review is reported, based on a manual search of 1,196 papers published from January to December 2020. Various databases such as Google Scholar, Web of Science, and Scopus were searched. The search strategy was formulated and refined in terms of subject keywords, geographical purview, and time period according to a predefined protocol. Visualizations were created to present the data trends according to different parameters. The results of this systematic literature review show that the study findings are critically relevant for both healthcare managers and prediction model developers. Healthcare managers can choose the best prediction model output for their organization or process management. Meanwhile, prediction model developers and managers can identify the lacunae in their models and improve their data-driven approaches.

Keyword

COVID-19; Data science; Healthcare management; Forecasting; Models