Child Health Nurs Res.  2020 Oct;26(4):463-469. 10.4094/chnr.2020.26.4.463.

Estimation of Under-5 Child Mortality Rates in 52 Low-migration Countries

Affiliations
  • 1Lecturer, Department of Medical and Allied Science, Faculty of Public Health, Karnali College of Health Science, Gaushala, Kathmandu, Nepal
  • 2Associate Professor, Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Faculty of Science and Technology, Prince of Songkla University, Pattani, Thailand.
  • 3Assistant Professor, Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Faculty of Science and Technology, Prince of Songkla University, Pattani, Thailand.

Abstract

Reduction of the under-5 mortality rate is a target of the Sustainable Development Goals. Therefore, this study aimed to estimate under-5 child mortality rates in 52 low-migration countries using population data. The study utilized population data from the US Census Bureau from 1990 to 2015. The method involved first estimating mortality rates for countries with negligible net migration and then applying these rates to countries with matching mortality profiles, where it is reasonable to assume that migration is negligible for children under the age of 5 years. The highest child mortality was concentrated in the African region, followed by Asia and the Western region. However, steady progress in child mortality trends was concentrated in low-income countries. This simple method demonstrated that child mortality has significantly improved in high-income countries, followed by middle- and low-income countries. To reduce the under-5 mortality rates even further in these 52 countries, there is a need to accelerate equitable plans and policies related to child health to promote children's longevity and survival.

Keyword

Child; Child health; Mortality; International migration
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