Epidemiol Health.
2019;41:e2019044. 10.4178/epih.e2019044.
Estimating the medical capacity required to administer mass prophylaxis: a hypothetical outbreak of smallpox virus infection in Korea
- Affiliations
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- 1Institute of Health and Environment, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea. taksw@snu.ac.kr
- 2Department of International Health, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA.
- KMID: 2469446
- DOI: http://doi.org/10.4178/epih.e2019044
Abstract
OBJECTIVES
The aim of this study was to estimate the medical surge capacity required for mass prophylaxis based on a hypothetical outbreak of smallpox.
METHODS
We performed a simulation using the Bioterrorism and Epidemic Outbreak Response Model and varied some important parameters, such as the number of core medical personnel and the number of dispensing clinics.
RESULTS
Gaps were identified in the medical surge capacity of the Korean government, especially in the number of medical personnel who could respond to the need for mass prophylaxis against smallpox.
CONCLUSIONS
The Korean government will need to train 1,000 or more medical personnel for such an event, and will need to prepare many more dispensing centers than are currently available.
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