J Korean Med Sci.  2015 Oct;30(10):1396-1404. 10.3346/jkms.2015.30.10.1396.

Presumed Regional Incidence Rate of Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest in Korea

Affiliations
  • 1Laboratory of Emergency Medical Services, Seoul National University Hospital Biomedical Research Institute, Seoul, Korea.
  • 2Department of Social & Preventive Medicine, Inha University School of Medicine, Incheon, Korea. cyberdoc@inha.ac.kr
  • 3Department of Emergency Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
  • 4Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA.
  • 5Department of Preventive Medicine, Graduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea.

Abstract

The regional incidence rates of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) were traditionally calculated with the residential population as the denominator. The aim of this study was to estimate the true incidence rate of OHCA and to investigate characteristics of regions with overestimated and underestimated OHCA incidence rates. We used the national OHCA database from 2006 to 2010. The nighttime residential and daytime transient populations were investigated from the 2010 Census. The daytime population was calculated by adding the daytime influx of population to, and subtracting the daytime outflow from, the nighttime residential population. Conventional age-standardized incidence rates (CASRs) and daytime corrected age-standardized incidence rates (DASRs) for OHCA per 100,000 person-years were calculated in each county. A total of 97,291 OHCAs were eligible. The age-standardized incidence rates of OHCAs per 100,000 person-years were 34.6 (95% CI: 34.3-35.0) in the daytime and 24.8 (95% CI: 24.5-25.1) in the nighttime among males, and 14.9 (95% CI: 14.7-15.1) in the daytime, and 10.4 (95% CI: 10.2-10.6) in the nighttime among females. The difference between the CASR and DASR ranged from 35.4 to -11.6 in males and from 6.1 to -1.0 in females. Through the Bland-Altman plot analysis, we found the difference between the CASR and DASR increased as the average CASR and DASR increased as well as with the larger daytime transient population. The conventional incidence rate was overestimated in counties with many OHCA cases and in metropolitan cities with large daytime population influx and nighttime outflow, while it was underestimated in residential counties around metropolitan cities.

Keyword

Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest; Incidence; Epidemiology

MeSH Terms

Age Factors
Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Female
Geography
Humans
Incidence
Male
Middle Aged
Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest/*epidemiology
Republic of Korea/epidemiology
Seasons
Survival Rate
Time Factors

Figure

  • Fig. 1 Time distribution of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. OHCA, out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

  • Fig. 2 Bland-Altman plots of conventional age-standardized rates and daytime corrected age-standardized rates by gender. CASR, conventional age-standardized rate per 100,000 person-years; DASR, daytime corrected age-standardized rate per 100,000 person-years.

  • Fig. 3 Scatter plots of the D index and the difference between the conventional age-standardized rates and daytime corrected age-standardized rates. D index = daytime population/nighttime residential population *100.

  • Fig. 4 Geographical maps of conventional age-standardized rates and daytime corrected age-standardized rates by gender. CASR, conventional age-standardized rate per 100,000 person-years; DASR, daytime corrected age-standardized rate per 100,000 person-years.


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