Korean J Nucl Med.
2000 Feb;34(1):39-54.
Long-term Prognostic Value of Dipyridamole Stress Myocardial SPECT
Abstract
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PURPOSE: Dipyridamole stress myocardial perfusion SPECT could predict prognosis, however,
long-term follow-up showed change of hazard ratio in patients with suspected coronary artery
disease. We investigated how long normal SPECT could predict the benign prognosis on the
long-term follow-up.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
We followed up 1169 patients and divided these patients into groups
in whom coronary angiography were performed and were not. Total cardiac event rate and hard
event rate were predicted using clinical, angiographic and SPECT findings. Predictive values
of normal and abnormal SPECT were examined using survival analysis with Mantel-Haenszel
method, multivariate Cox proportional hazard model analysis and newly developed statistical
method to test time-invariance of hazard rate and changing point of this rate.
RESULTS
Reversible perfusion decrease on myocardial perfusion SPECT predicted higher total
cardiac event rate independently and further to angiographic findings. However, myocardial
SPECT showed independent but not incremental prognostic values for hard event rate. Hazard
ratio of normal perfusion SPECT was changed significantly (p<0.001) and the changing
point of hazard rate was 4.4 years of follow up. However, the ratio of abnormal SPECT was not.
CONCLUSION
Dipyridamole stress myocardial perfusion SPECT provided independent prognostic
information in patients with known and suspected coronary artery disease. Normal perfusion
SPECT predicted least event rate for 4.4 years.